Thursday, January 31, 2008

Experts still divided on hurricanes and warming

Mark Saunders and Adam Lea of University College in London have published a paper quantifying for the first time the contribution of sea surface temperature to the increase in hurricane activity we've seen over the past decades. In Nature News, Quirin Schiermeier anatomizes the debate and explains who the major disputants are.

As usual, much work remains to better understand all the interconnections, and the work is much harder when denialists are busily making noise and doing their utmost to confuse everyone.
The stakes are high, since the insurance industry depends on this body of work to help them price risk correctly. Owners of coastal property might well be hovering at the boundaries of insurability, if they're not over the line already.

Hurricane structure graphic by NOAA

No comments: