• Efficiency First – the development of innovative energy-efficiency technologies has brought about a consumerist, low-carbon world…..
• Under the Service Transformation scenario, the high price of carbon in 2020 meant that businesses changed their models to sell services rather than products, with
• Redefining progress, on the other hand, sees the establishment of more sustainable living and a “wellbeing economy”, with countries prioritizing economic and social resilience over economic growth, and governments regulating the economy tightly. …
• As a result of the Environmental War Economy, economies in 2050 are forcibly re-focused on climate change issues as if they were fighting a war against it. Greenhouse-gas emissions began to decline in 2030 but the cost to individual liberty has been huge, and governments have strong powers to regulate and “rationalize” business…..
• Under the Protectionist World scenario, countries wage war over scarce resources like water, and globalization no longer exists. There was a climate agreement in 2010 but factions developed after accusations of cheating and secret, undeclared power stations. As a result, the world has fractured into protectionist blocs….
The "redefining progress" illlustration from the website for Forum for the Future
1 comment:
Interesting that this brain trust doesn't see the redefining of economics so that growth isn't the measure anymore.
Until we get the burning issue handled, it may not matter, but the conceptual issue of an economy that isn't dependent on the current definitions, like growth, is a significant landmark in creating a sustainable society.
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