Thursday, April 23, 2009

Some tornado topics...

Quick Study, from Readers Digest: ...The last two tornado seasons have been the deadliest in a decade, with 206 deaths. Everyone from the insurance industry to Al Gore worries that global warming may be causing more tornado activity. But there's no baseline for comparison. That's because we have no accurate record of tornadoes before the 1950s, back when it was possible for these brief, freakish funnels of air to blow over then-unpopulated areas without notice.

Tornado warnings have improved over the years; forecasters can now issue warnings about 18 minutes before touchdown for 75 percent of twisters. As for longer-term forecasts, the science isn't there yet, despite what you hear on the nightly news. "Television forecasters pander to the public's curiosity about extreme weather," says Michael H. Glantz, a professor at the University of Colorado at Boulder. Their goal, of course, is to be first with a forecast of trouble ahead. But beware those who insist on linking El Niño (the cyclical surface warming of the eastern Pacific Ocean) to tornado likelihood. The slight correlation is "not enough to be directly useful in forecasting," says Joe Schaefer, director of the Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Oklahoma.

The number of deaths per tornado is greater in the South than in Tornado Alley (the Great Plains and part of the Midwest)—a disparity that can't be explained by storm frequency or severity. Experts say things like terrain, population density, and the number of mobile homes play a role. But the biggest factor might be timing: "In the Plains," explains Schaefer, "we have a much more clearly defined period of tornado activity, generally from March to late June. In the Southeast, tornadoes can happen all year long, so there may be less vigilance." Research also shows that the South may have a climatological propensity for nighttime storms, which catch people unawares—asleep in bed. Last year's two killer tornado outbreaks in North Carolina landed between 11:30 p.m. and 3:30 a.m….

Tornado 8 miles south of Anadarko, Oklahoma, 1999. NOAA

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Cardsharing kann auch als so genanntes Offline Decoding erfolgen. Dabei nimmt der Nutzer eine Sendung (zunächst ohne Kenntnis des Schlüssels) als Transport Stream auf Festplatte auf. Eine andere Person, die Zugriff auf die Smardcard hat, protokolliert zur selben Zeit die Schlüssel von diesem Sender in einer Logdatei. Der Nutzer kann mit dieser Datei später die Aufnahme mit speziellen Programmen (z.B. TSDEC) entschlüsseln.

Beim Card-Sharing verteilt ein Satelliten-Receiver den Decoder-Schlüssel per IP-Netzwerk an die potenziellen Schwarzseher. Damit das Sharing funktioniert, muss der Receiver mit bezahlter Smartcard, „Conditional Access Module“ (CAM) im CI-Slot und LAN-Port ausgestattet sein. Der Empfangs-Client – idealerweise ebenfalls ein Sat-Receiver mit LAN-Port – simuliert die Kombination aus Smartcard und CAM-Modul per Software.

sondern auch per DSL im Internet. Das klingt einfacher als es ist: Wechselte Premiere zu Beginn den Nagravision-Schlüssel in recht langen Intervallen von 8 Sekunden, wird dieser nun in sehr kurzen Zyklen von nur noch 2 Sekunden ausgetauscht – um Card-Sharing via Internet zu unterbinden. Doch laut Insider-Kreisen ist es mit einer schnellen DSL-Verbindung und passender Hardware.

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