Wednesday, May 15, 2013

AccuWeather predicts busy Atlantic hurricane season

Doyle Rice in USA Today: Private weather firm AccuWeather has joined the parade of forecasting teams predicting a busy hurricane season in the Atlantic. In a forecast released this morning, AccuWeather expects that 16 named tropical storms will form, of which eight will be hurricanes.

A typical year, based on records that go back to 1950, has 12 tropical storms, of which seven are hurricanes, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Last year, 19 named tropical storms developed. A tropical storm has sustained winds of 39 mph; it becomes a hurricane when its winds reach 74 mph.

The 2013 Atlantic hurricane season officially begins June 1 and includes all tropical systems that form in the Atlantic, Caribbean Sea or Gulf of Mexico.

Unusually warm water across the Atlantic and Caribbean, along with less frequent wind shear, should result in an above-normal number of storms.

AccuWeather says three of the storms are predicted to make landfall in the USA. Florida is long overdue for a direct hurricane hit, according to AccuWeather meteorologist Dan Kottlowski. Though the state has been hit by named tropical storms in the past couple of years, he says, a direct hit by a hurricane has not occurred since Hurricane Charley in 2004...

August 30, 2012, had four storm systems brewing: Hurricanes Isaac, Ileana, and Kirk, with Tropical Depression 12 tagging along. From NASA


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