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The report, titled "Climate Change as a Security Risk" and released by the German Advisory Council on Global Change (WBGU), identifies several areas with "potential for political crisis and migratory pressure". These include North Africa; the Sahel zone; Southern Africa; Central Asia; China; Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico; India, Pakistan and Bangladesh; and the Andean region and Amazonia.
The study found six primary threats to international stability and security: an increase in the number of weak and fragile states; risks for global economic development; growing international distributional conflicts; risk to human rights and the industrialized countries' legitimacy as global governance actors; intensification of migration and; failure of disaster management systems.
"The greater the scale of climate change, the greater the probability that in the coming decades, climate-induced conflict constellations will impact not only on individual countries or sub-regions but also on the global governance system as a whole," said the study, released last week at a seminar co-sponsored by WBGU and the New York Office of the Friedrich Ebert Foundation of Germany….
The Bulgarian army waits to attack Adrianople, 1912, Wikimedia Commons
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