
Existing vulnerability analyses are of little use, says Moench. "At best, they reiterate what we already know; at worst, they are used to justify entrenched agendas".
The impacts of climate change can be unexpected, he points out. Droughts in Afghanistan for example, led to malnutrition levels that were highest — not amongst the children of farmers — but among children of shopkeepers and moneylenders who lost income when farmers could not repay loans, and who were not eligible for aid.
Analytical frameworks need to highlight how growing global interactions generate vulnerability. Nepalese villagers may depend on money sent from family living in cities abroad; city dwellers in Manila depend on rice from Vietnam and Thailand; and the rise of urban food prices may have contributed to the unrest in the Middle East in 2011...
A bridge across Sioni Reservoir in South Ossetia, Georgia, shot by Vladimer Shioshvili, Wikimedia Commons via Flickr, under the Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 2.0 Generic licens
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