Discovery News: Climate change models tailored to investigate some strange storms in the
Most hurricanes form in the tropical Atlantic, rarely reaching
"It should be a matter of concern," said Miguel Gaertner, a researcher at the University of Castilla-La Mancha in
The idea of hurricanes hitting Europe and northern Africa is not completely farfetched, Gaertner points out, since in 2005 Hurricane Vince made an unprecedented landfall in
…Two 30-year runs for each model were done for the years 2071 to 2100. For a reality check, they ran the same tests on the years 1961 to 1990 to make sure the models were able to approximately reproduce history.
The team also used just one of many possible future greenhouse gas scenarios — that in which the release of greenhouse gases continues to increase. The models all included such factors as sea surface temperatures, humidity and wind shear, all of which can make or break a tropical cyclone.
"This is a very new study," said Gaertner. "We used several regional climate models where others have used only one." Their results appear in the latest issue of the journal Geophysical Research Letters.
What they discovered is that in most sensitive of their models there was, indeed, an increase in the formation of tropical cyclones in the